Continuum seed-bank model

Speaker: Likai Jiao, Humboldt–Universit¨at zu Berlin          
Title: Continuum seed-bank model
Language: Chinese
Time & Venue: 2024.04.26 15:00-16:00  N620
Abstract: In this talk,  we introduce the continuum seed-bank model which is a natural  generalization of Blath et al. (2016) and Greven, den Hollander, et al.  (2022) to accommodate more general dormancy time distributions, such as a  type of Pareto distribution. To this end, we first formulate an  infinite-dimensional SDE and show that it has a unique strong solution,  referred to as the continuum seed-bank diffusion. This diffusion process  serves as a Markovian lift of a non-Markovian Volterra process. We  construct a discretetime Wright-Fisher type model with finitely many  seed-banks, and demonstrate that the continuum seed-bank diffusion,  under the weak-  topology, is the scaling limit of the allele frequency process in a  suitable sequence of such models. Furthermore, we establish a duality  relation between the continuum seed-bank diffusion and a continuous-time  and -state Markov jump process. The latter is the block counting  process of a partition-valued Markov jump process, referred to as the  continuum seed-bank coalescent. We discuss some basic properties of the  coalescent process such as scaling limit interpretation,  exchangeability, limiting distribution of the ancestral line, and  comparisons of E[TMRCA]. We prove that E[TMRCA] is finite if and only if  the expected dormancy time is finite. As a byproduct, we also derive  the limiting distribution of the continuum seed-bank diffusion.  Additionally, we show that the continuum seed-bank coalescent does not  come down from infinity, and provide asymptotic bounds of E[TMRCA] in  certain special cases.

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